The article discusses the evolving rapprochement between Damascus and Ankara, marking a significant shift in regional dynamics that could reshape the future of Syria. While full normalization between the Syrian and Turkish governments is not imminent, their recent exchanges suggest a move towards greater cooperation. This development poses a challenge to the Syrian opposition, which has relied heavily on Turkish support while Western backers have remained cautious.

A key aspect of the rapprochement hinges on a potential gradual Turkish withdrawal from northern Syria, transitioning to new arrangements that go beyond the old Adana Agreement. Critical to this process are guarantees for the safe return of refugees and the prevention of further displacement of populations who resist Damascus’s control. The rapprochement also has the potential to reinvigorate the political process, which could benefit both the Syrian opposition and the broader Syrian community in Türkiye and northern Syria.

For Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the rapprochement is seen as a strategic necessity, driven by the need for security, economic stability, and addressing refugee issues ahead of the 2028 elections. Conversely, Damascus finds its options limited due to escalating regional violence and ongoing economic decline, which threaten the stability of Syrian state institutions.

The article identifies shared security concerns, economic opportunities, the refugee crisis, and the complex issue of armed factions in Idlib and northern Aleppo as critical areas where cooperation could yield mutual benefits. However, significant challenges remain, particularly in addressing the concerns of the Syrian opposition and the complexities of regional politics.

Ultimately, the article argues that the Syrian opposition must engage in dialogue with all parties to navigate this new political landscape and secure a role in shaping Syria’s future, rather than being sidelined in the process.