Future Scenarios for the Arab Region

Client 

ESCWA >


Client Type 

International Organization

Topic 

Sustainable Development >


Service 

Scenario Development

Year 

2017 - 2018


Status 

Completed

Project Summary

Our team (pre-LUGARIT) was commissioned by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) to develop future scenarios for the Arab region, focusing on regional challenges associated with conflicts and their impacts on the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the 2030 Development Agenda.  This project was part of a larger research and policy project the consultant was delivering for ESCWA.  


Scenario Development 

We lay out a framework for future scenarios for the Arab region, based on characteristics and drivers of regional and national conflicts.  And we produce four plausible scenarios: 



Key Findings 

The main findings of this scenario building exercise are:


Related Project

Year:  2017-2018

Client:  ESCWA – United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia

A research project examines conflicts in the Arab region and their impact on the 2030 Development Agenda. We analyse historical trends, direct and indirect impacts of conflicts on development, long-term conflict patterns, future scenarios, and provide policy recommendations to achieve sustainable development and peace in the region.

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Header Photo

A street market in Egypt.  Photo © Ivan Moreno sl - Via ShutterStock.  Link >